Mario Lefebvre, Fatima Bensalma
Article de revue (2014)
Résumé
Filtered renewal processes are used to forecast daily river flows. For these processes, contrary to filtered Poisson processes, the time between consecutive events is not necessarily exponentially distributed, which ismore realistic.Themodel is applied to obtain oneand two-day-ahead forecasts of the flows of the Delaware and Hudson Rivers, both located in the United States. Better results are obtained than with filtered Poisson processes, which are often used to model river flows.
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