Machine learning assisted axial strength prediction models for concrete filled stainless steel tubular columns

Concrete filled stainless steel tubular (CFSST) columns have gained popularity over conventional concrete filled steel tubular (CFST) columns owing to their higher axial capacity and excellent corrosion resistance of stainless steel (SS). Numerous experimental and numerical research have been performed to evaluate CFSST column response under different loading scenarios. Despite all these studies, inaccuracy still exists in predicting the axial strength of CFSST columns. Moreover, unique properties of SS do not allow using conventional code equations developed for CFST columns to be used for axial strength prediction of CFSST columns. To this end, this study aims to develop data-driven machine learning (ML) techniques for predicting the axial capacity of CFSST columns. A comprehensive dataset of 422 circular and rectangular CFSST columns are carefully gathered from literature, which is employed for developing the data-driven ML models. Model accuracy is assessed using various performance metrics such as coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash-Sutcliffe Model (NSE) and Index of Agreement (d). Out of the ten ML algorithms considered in this study, CatBoost (CatB) turns out to be the most accurate one. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis is performed to interpret the outcomes of the ML model and explain the importance of each input feature. The best performing CatB model is compared with six different design code equations to showcase its acceptance and superior performance. It is observed that the ML model provides a quick and accurate estimate of the axial capacity of CFSST columns by overcoming the limitations of existing design codes. For identifying the resistance factor for the CatB model, reliability analysis is also performed following AISC 360–16 provision. Finally, an interactive graphical user interface is developed for practicing engineers to enhance the accuracy of CFSST axial capacity prediction while promoting the use of interpretable ML models.

Uncontrolled Keywords

• CFSST column
• axial capacity
• machine learning
• explainable
• SHAP
• CatBoost